Trump's 60% Tariff Threats Loom Over China's Economy Amid Deflation and Trade Struggles

November 7, 2024
Trump's 60% Tariff Threats Loom Over China's Economy Amid Deflation and Trade Struggles
  • As Donald Trump prepares for a potential second term, he has threatened to impose blanket tariffs of 60% on all Chinese exports, a move that could severely impact China's already struggling economy.

  • China's imports from the U.S. have decreased significantly, limiting its options for retaliation against American products.

  • The Chinese economy is currently facing deflation and property market issues, making a tariff battle particularly damaging as it relies heavily on exports, especially in electric vehicles and batteries.

  • The International Monetary Fund has lowered its growth forecast for China, predicting only 4.8% growth in 2024, highlighting ongoing economic challenges.

  • Experts suggest that while China is preparing for a potential trade war, its options for countering extreme threats from the U.S. are limited and could have significant repercussions for its economy.

  • In response to Trump's tariff threats, China has developed strategies that include export controls on critical materials and targeting American companies, but it remains cautious about appearing weak.

  • Unlike in 2018, when China was unprepared for Trump's trade war, President Xi Jinping is now better equipped with a toolkit that includes tariffs and export controls.

  • China may opt for stimulus measures rather than direct retaliation against Trump's proposed tariffs, as responding to such high tariffs would be challenging.

  • Despite the challenges, China has emerged as a leader in high-tech exports, particularly in solar panels, electric vehicles, and lithium-ion batteries.

  • China has implemented export controls on materials vital for technology, which could include critical raw materials needed by the U.S.

  • While China has seen growth in high-tech exports, Western countries are imposing higher tariffs on Chinese goods, complicating trade relations further.

  • In a recent message to Trump, Xi Jinping emphasized the importance of cooperation between the U.S. and China, indicating a willingness to engage despite the tensions.

Summary based on 10 sources


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