Consumer Confidence Hits Highest Since May 2023 Amid Slowing Inflation and Economic Optimism

September 13, 2024
Consumer Confidence Hits Highest Since May 2023 Amid Slowing Inflation and Economic Optimism
  • The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index has risen to 69.0 in September, marking an increase from 67.9 in August and surpassing expectations of 68.3.

  • This September reading is the highest since May 2023 and reflects a sentiment that is approximately 40% above its low point in June 2022.

  • Consumer sentiment had plummeted in June 2022 when inflation peaked at 9.1%, but has since increased significantly, although it remains below pre-pandemic levels.

  • Americans' outlook on the economy improved for the second consecutive month in September, driven by falling prices of durable goods and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

  • The proportion of consumers expecting interest rates to decline in the next 12 months rose to 54%, the highest level recorded since 1978.

  • Despite the positive sentiment, concerns are rising as Americans are saving less and accumulating more credit card debt, which may lead to a reduction in spending.

  • Year-ahead inflation expectations decreased for the fourth consecutive month, falling to 2.7%, the lowest since December 2020.

  • Joanne Hsu, director of consumer surveys at the University of Michigan, noted that consumers are still cautious due to uncertainties surrounding the upcoming election.

  • The economy expanded at a strong annual rate of 3% in the April-June quarter, with retail spending rebounding in July.

  • Overall, Americans are showing increased optimism about the US economy this month due to slower inflation rates and improved economic conditions.

  • A growing number of consumers, across political lines, anticipate a victory for Kamala Harris in the upcoming election, indicating a shift in political sentiment.

  • Rising consumer confidence may indicate a greater willingness to spend, yet Americans have maintained healthy spending levels even with subdued confidence.

Summary based on 8 sources


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