US Job Openings Drop to 8.18M in June, Indicating Cooling Labor Market
July 30, 2024In June 2024, U.S. job openings decreased to 8.18 million, down from 8.23 million in May, indicating a cooling labor market.
Job openings have been on a downward trend since peaking at 12.2 million in March 2022, largely due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes aimed at combating inflation.
This decline in job openings is attributed to high interest rates, which have been affecting employment opportunities across various sectors.
Despite the decrease in job openings, the labor market is showing signs of normalization, with strong GDP growth reported in the second quarter.
Layoffs also decreased to 1.5 million in June, the lowest level since November 2022, suggesting that employers are hesitant to reduce their workforce.
The layoff and discharge rate fell to 0.9%, indicating low levels of workforce reductions and reflecting a stable job market.
Upcoming data from the Labor Department is expected to reveal July's job creation and unemployment figures, with forecasts predicting 175,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate steady at 4.1%.
Job growth has slowed in 2023, averaging 222,000 new jobs per month, down from 251,000 in 2022 and significantly lower than the record 604,000 in 2021.
The current labor market conditions may support the Federal Reserve's consideration of interest rate cuts as early as September.
Evercore ISI noted that while the labor market is not deteriorating rapidly, the Fed is likely to consider these trends in their decision-making.
The Federal Reserve views the decline in job openings as a less disruptive approach to temper the job market and alleviate wage inflation compared to implementing layoffs.
As economic conditions continue to evolve, the situation in the labor market is being closely monitored, with updates expected soon.
Summary based on 8 sources
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Sources
CNN • Jul 30, 2024
The number of available jobs in the US is shrinkingSeeking Alpha • Jul 30, 2024
Job openings fell less than expected in June, quits rate unchanged - JOLTS