Trump Edges Biden in Latest Poll; Economic Concerns Key for 2024 Election Outcome

May 28, 2024
Trump Edges Biden in Latest Poll; Economic Concerns Key for 2024 Election Outcome
  • In the latest national poll for the 2024 presidential race, Trump leads Biden by just under two points in a five-way contest.

  • Trump holds 40% compared to Biden's 37% in the five-way contest, while both are tied at 50% each in a two-way matchup.

  • Biden's reelection chances may depend on irregular and disengaged voters who did not vote in 2020, as Trump has gained support among these voters.

  • There is uncertainty about the loyalty of these irregular voters to Trump in November due to their history of splitting tickets.

  • The economy is a key issue for irregular voters, with Democratic-leaning ones viewing it more negatively.

  • Biden needs to strengthen his economic message, particularly among young voters and minorities who supported him in 2020.

  • Despite Biden's strong performance among young voters in the previous election, he must navigate different dynamics in 2024 to secure reelection.

  • Experts caution against over-interpreting polls at this stage, with the election scheduled for November 5.

Summary based on 3 sources


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