Proposed welfare cuts pose a significant electoral risk for the Labour Party, with at least 80 MPs facing the possibility of losing their majorities.

Notably, cabinet members, including justice secretary Shabana Mahmood and health secretary Wes Streeting, also represent constituencies where their majorities are smaller than the number of constituents likely to be impacted by the welfare changes.

In constituencies like Easington and Huddersfield, the number of PIP claimants greatly exceeds the MPs' majorities, suggesting potential voter backlash.

A vote on the proposed welfare reforms is anticipated in June 2025, as MPs rally to oppose the cuts.

Data indicates that nearly 200 Labour MPs have majorities smaller than the number of constituents receiving personal independent payments (PIP), particularly in northern England.

The proposed reforms include raising eligibility thresholds for disability support and reducing the higher rate of universal credit for those unable to work due to disability.

Discontent among Labour MPs has led to an organizing campaign against the welfare changes, with personal letter-writing initiatives directed at party leader Keir Starmer.

Rebels within the party aim to gather support from as many as 50 MPs to vote against the welfare cuts, while some party whips may allow uneasy MPs to abstain.

Julia Modern, co-chair of the Disability Poverty Campaign Group, warns that the proposed cuts could push an additional 350,000 disabled individuals into poverty, compounding the existing 4.8 million already affected in the UK.

Critics, including Labour MPs, argue that the government's welfare reforms disproportionately harm low-income constituents, jeopardizing Labour's electoral prospects.

The Department for Work and Pensions asserts that their welfare reforms are intended to support disabled individuals while encouraging those who can work to do so.

Labour MPs caution that families of PIP claimants will also suffer significant impacts from these cuts, further amplifying the electoral risk.