UK Economy Stalls: Revised GDP Growth Signals Extended Stagnation Amid Inflation Concerns

December 23, 2024
UK Economy Stalls: Revised GDP Growth Signals Extended Stagnation Amid Inflation Concerns
  • The UK economy flatlined in the third quarter of 2024, with GDP growth revised down to 0% from an initial estimate of 0.1%.

  • In addition, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revised second quarter growth down from 0.5% to 0.4%.

  • Labour's Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves acknowledged the significant challenges ahead to improve the economy and public finances after years of neglect.

  • Facing a stalled economy, Reeves noted a reported 0.1% decline in October 2024, further complicating efforts to boost economic growth.

  • The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) indicated that companies anticipate reducing output and hiring while increasing prices due to tax rises from the recent Budget.

  • Concerns regarding the government's Budget have contributed to slow growth, leading to uncertainty in the economic outlook as the country approaches the new year.

  • The UK is on track for two consecutive quarters of stagnant economic activity, influenced by declining business and consumer confidence amid anticipated tax increases.

  • The Bank of England has raised concerns about persistent inflation and a stagnant economy, predicting zero GDP growth for the last quarter of 2024.

  • Weaker performance in sectors such as bars, restaurants, legal firms, and advertising has contributed to the decline in economic activity.

  • The CBI warned of a steep decline in economic activity expected at the beginning of 2025, with firms planning to cut hiring and output.

  • The UK economy has shown few signs of recovery after entering a technical recession in the second half of 2023, marked by two consecutive quarters of contraction.

  • Disposable household income recorded no growth in Q3 2024, following a growth of 1.4% in the previous quarter.

Summary based on 9 sources


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