UK Government Borrowing Surges to £17.4 Billion, Second Highest October on Record

November 21, 2024
UK Government Borrowing Surges to £17.4 Billion, Second Highest October on Record
  • In October 2024, the UK government borrowed £17.4 billion, significantly surpassing the anticipated £12.3 billion, marking the second highest October borrowing since records began in January 1993.

  • This surge in borrowing was largely driven by an increase in debt servicing costs, which reached £9.1 billion, accounting for over half of last month's borrowing due to higher inflation impacting repayment rates on index-linked gilts.

  • The Office for National Statistics reported that government spending, including services and debt repayments, rose at a faster rate than tax receipts, contributing to the overall borrowing increase.

  • Tax receipts did see an increase of £2.9 billion to £61.3 billion, primarily from rises in Corporation Tax and Income Tax, but overall spending also rose by £3.9 billion to £88.5 billion.

  • Darren Jones, Chief Secretary to the Treasury, emphasized the government's commitment to stabilizing public finances, particularly in light of the £22 billion deficit inherited from the previous administration.

  • Public sector net debt has now reached 97.5% of GDP, a level not seen since the early 1960s, while new measures indicate a debt of 83.7% of GDP.

  • Despite cuts to national insurance contributions, expected drops in tax receipts did not materialize, leading to a growing gap between revenue and public spending.

  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces pressure from these disappointing borrowing figures, which may necessitate further tax increases to support government spending in future years.

  • Economic experts suggest that fiscal policy will continue to tighten, indicating that Reeves may need to implement additional tax increases if revenues fall short or spending exceeds expectations.

  • The Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts that the deficit will increase further this year to £127.5 billion.

  • In response to inflationary pressures, Chancellor Reeves announced £9.4 billion in pay deals, which included backdated pay rises for teachers and NHS staff starting in October.

  • Overall, the financial landscape presents significant challenges for the UK government as it seeks to balance increased spending with the need to manage rising debt levels.

Summary based on 4 sources


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