Germany to Shift from Austerity with Historic €1 Trillion Investment in Defense and Infrastructure

March 18, 2025
Germany to Shift from Austerity with Historic €1 Trillion Investment in Defense and Infrastructure
  • Germany is poised to shift away from its austerity measures, with a significant financial package aimed at boosting defense and infrastructure investments, pending approval from the Bundesrat on March 21, 2025.

  • On March 18, 2025, the governing coalition of Union, SPD, and Greens is expected to approve a multi-hundred billion euro financial package that targets infrastructure, climate protection, and military spending, all previously limited by budget cuts.

  • This financial package marks a significant policy shift away from Germany's traditional fiscal conservatism, as it seeks to relax the debt brake that has constrained federal borrowing.

  • The debt brake, which limits federal borrowing, is viewed as a hindrance to necessary investments for the future, prompting calls for its relaxation.

  • A majority of economists support suspending the debt brake, believing that increased borrowing is essential for funding critical projects amid ongoing economic challenges.

  • If approved, the package will increase defense spending to three percent of GDP, resulting in an additional €65 billion annually and the potential creation or safeguarding of 660,000 jobs across Europe.

  • The financial package allows for up to one trillion euros in additional debt for defense, while a special fund of 500 billion euros for infrastructure will be financed through loans over the next twelve years.

  • The final approval of the financial package hinges on the Bundesrat's decision, which faces its own set of challenges.

  • Following the announcement of the financial package, yields on ten-year German government bonds have risen sharply, raising concerns about increased borrowing costs and inflation risks.

  • Increasing debt is projected to lead to higher interest costs, with estimates suggesting an increase in annual interest payments by €37 billion from 2035, posing long-term economic risks.

  • Experts suggest that a temporary suspension of the debt brake could provide the necessary resources for recovery without jeopardizing long-term fiscal health.

  • Marcel Fratzscher, head of the German Institute for Economic Research, views the debt package as a pivotal moment for Germany, emphasizing that funds should be directed towards infrastructure and security rather than merely increasing public sector wages.

Summary based on 4 sources


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