UK Economy Stalls in July Despite Summer Boost, Raising Concerns Over Recovery

September 12, 2024
UK Economy Stalls in July Despite Summer Boost, Raising Concerns Over Recovery
  • Despite this recovery, the economy showed no growth in July, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, which raises concerns about the sustainability of the recovery.

  • The manufacturing and construction sectors particularly struggled, with production output declining by 0.8% and construction output falling by 0.4%.

  • This stagnation in July fell short of economists' expectations for a slight increase, highlighting ongoing economic challenges under the leadership of Sir Keir Starmer.

  • High interest rates continue to squeeze both businesses and consumers, leading to increased costs and wage pressures, which could result in higher redundancies.

  • The British economy is slowly recovering after experiencing a technical recession, marked by two consecutive quarters of contraction at the end of 2023.

  • Analysts have expressed concern over the stagnation, noting that while the services sector saw a slight boost from summer sporting events, it was insufficient to offset declines in production and construction.

  • In contrast, the services sector grew by 0.1% in July, but this growth was not enough to prevent an overall stagnation.

  • The Bank of England is set to meet next week to discuss interest rates, following a rate cut for the first time in four years last month.

  • Investment strategist Lindsay James remarked that the UK's economic growth appears to be stuttering, with July's data indicating no growth and previous growth rates falling below expectations.

  • This lack of growth poses a setback for Chancellor Rachel Reeves ahead of her 'growth agenda' Budget scheduled for October.

  • In a bid to improve public education funding, the Labour government is considering taxing private schools at 20% starting in January 2025, which could impact around 600,000 children.

  • Despite the current stagnation, there are some positive forecasts, including an IMF projection of 0.7% GDP growth for the UK in 2024, indicating potential for recovery.

Summary based on 8 sources


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Sources

UK economy fails to grow in July

BBC News • Sep 11, 2024

UK economy fails to grow in July


Economy flatlines under Starmer - latest updates


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