US Job Openings Drop to 8.18M in June, Indicating Cooling Labor Market

July 30, 2024
US Job Openings Drop to 8.18M in June, Indicating Cooling Labor Market
  • In June 2024, U.S. job openings decreased to 8.18 million, down from 8.23 million in May, indicating a cooling labor market.

  • Job openings have been on a downward trend since peaking at 12.2 million in March 2022, largely due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes aimed at combating inflation.

  • This decline in job openings is attributed to high interest rates, which have been affecting employment opportunities across various sectors.

  • Despite the decrease in job openings, the labor market is showing signs of normalization, with strong GDP growth reported in the second quarter.

  • Layoffs also decreased to 1.5 million in June, the lowest level since November 2022, suggesting that employers are hesitant to reduce their workforce.

  • The layoff and discharge rate fell to 0.9%, indicating low levels of workforce reductions and reflecting a stable job market.

  • Upcoming data from the Labor Department is expected to reveal July's job creation and unemployment figures, with forecasts predicting 175,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate steady at 4.1%.

  • Job growth has slowed in 2023, averaging 222,000 new jobs per month, down from 251,000 in 2022 and significantly lower than the record 604,000 in 2021.

  • The current labor market conditions may support the Federal Reserve's consideration of interest rate cuts as early as September.

  • Evercore ISI noted that while the labor market is not deteriorating rapidly, the Fed is likely to consider these trends in their decision-making.

  • The Federal Reserve views the decline in job openings as a less disruptive approach to temper the job market and alleviate wage inflation compared to implementing layoffs.

  • As economic conditions continue to evolve, the situation in the labor market is being closely monitored, with updates expected soon.

Summary based on 8 sources


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