Broadcom's AI Surge Poses Major Threat to Nvidia Amidst Intensifying Chip Market Competition

December 21, 2024
Broadcom's AI Surge Poses Major Threat to Nvidia Amidst Intensifying Chip Market Competition
  • Broadcom's AI segment has seen remarkable growth, with revenue soaring from $3.8 billion last year to $12.2 billion in fiscal 2024.

  • The company commands a significant share of the application-specific integrated circuits market, controlling between 55% and 60%, which enhances its growth prospects.

  • In contrast, Stephen Yiu, portfolio manager of the Blue Whale Growth Fund, has reduced his investment in Nvidia, citing challenges for larger firms to achieve substantial growth.

  • Major tech companies like Microsoft, Meta, and Google are increasingly designing their own AI chips, reducing their reliance on Nvidia.

  • Despite Nvidia's impressive performance, its stock is perceived as expensive, with a price-to-sales ratio of 29 and an earnings multiple of 54, compared to the tech sector averages of 8.2 and a standard earnings multiple.

  • The competition in the AI chip market is intensifying, with Broadcom emerging as a formidable challenger to Nvidia, leveraging strategic partnerships and innovative chip solutions.

  • Broadcom's AI chips are being developed in collaboration with major players such as Meta, Alphabet, and ByteDance, further solidifying its position in the market.

  • Broadcom's organic revenue growth, excluding VMware acquisition revenue, was 9%, with projections of $14.6 billion in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, reflecting a 22% increase from the previous year.

  • Looking ahead, Broadcom estimates that the serviceable addressable market for custom AI and networking chips could reach between $60 billion and $90 billion by fiscal 2027.

  • Yiu suggests that for Nvidia to match Broadcom's projected growth, it would need to add $1.5 trillion to its market value, making Broadcom a more attractive investment for those seeking high returns in the AI sector.

  • While Broadcom's recent performance is impressive, some investors are contemplating profit-taking strategies, indicating a cautious approach amidst its growth.

  • Analysts are optimistic about Broadcom's future, forecasting a 19% revenue increase and a 28% rise in earnings per share for the current fiscal year.

Summary based on 4 sources


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