Chancellor Reeves Eyes Major Fiscal Rule Overhaul to Unlock £57 Billion for UK Infrastructure

October 10, 2024
Chancellor Reeves Eyes Major Fiscal Rule Overhaul to Unlock £57 Billion for UK Infrastructure
  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves is contemplating significant changes to the UK's fiscal rules ahead of the upcoming Budget on October 30, which could potentially unlock an additional £57 billion for infrastructure projects.

  • Reeves faces criticism from opposition parties for perceived manipulation of fiscal rules, while Cabinet ministers argue that previous fiscal frameworks hindered investment.

  • Reports suggest that Reeves may exclude losses from the Bank of England's asset-purchase programs from debt calculations to facilitate more investment.

  • Despite some support within Labour for changing debt rules, there are concerns about potential cuts to capital spending amid a £22 billion shortfall in public finances.

  • As Reeves navigates these fiscal challenges, a Treasury analysis has revealed a £22 billion shortfall in public spending, complicating her plans.

  • The repayment of the Bank of England's pandemic support has inflated the national debt measure, complicating the government's debt reduction targets.

  • The government has committed to reducing national debt as a percentage of the economy over the next five years, despite the challenges posed by rising borrowing costs.

  • Reeves has acknowledged the need for 'tough decisions' but has ruled out a return to austerity measures.

  • She plans to revise budget rules to aim for a balanced budget excluding investments, rather than allowing for a 3% overall deficit.

  • IFS Director Paul Johnson emphasized that to boost investment spending and adequately fund public services, Reeves must consider raising taxes, increasing borrowing, or both.

  • The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has indicated that Reeves' upcoming budget could be the most significant since 2010, necessitating substantial tax increases to balance the budget by 2028-29.

  • Reeves will receive the first analysis from the Office for Budget Responsibility regarding her budget measures on the same day as a summit aimed at attracting international investment.

Summary based on 6 sources


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