US Job Growth Slows in October Amid Strikes, But Economic Outlook Remains Positive
October 30, 2024Despite these challenges, experts like Jane Oates from WorkingNation assert that the broader job market remains resilient, buoyed by strong consumer spending.
Economists predict that only 120,000 jobs were added in October, a notable decline from September's 254,000 increase, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%.
The mixed employment data coincides with a report of 2.8% GDP growth in the third quarter, indicating economic strength despite weaknesses in the labor market.
U.S. stock markets reacted positively to the weak jobs report, driven by strong earnings from tech companies like Amazon and Intel.
Polling indicates widespread dissatisfaction among Americans regarding the economy, with many frustrated by high prices that remain about 20% higher than pre-inflation levels.
Mainstream economists do not share skepticism regarding the job figures, as other indicators suggest a stable job market.
Despite the anticipated drop in job growth, skepticism persists among some Republican figures about the credibility of the job report, following previous claims of inaccuracies.
Market reactions included modest gains in U.S. stock index futures and a decline in the yield on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes, reflecting investor sentiment following the labor report.
Analysts suggest that the surprising low job growth may be viewed positively by the market, as it increases the likelihood of future Federal Reserve rate cuts.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics noted that data collection for the report was disrupted by recent hurricanes and a labor strike at Boeing.
Job gains were primarily seen in the health care and government sectors, whereas temporary help and professional services experienced declines, with manufacturing jobs dropping by 46,000, partly due to strike activity.
Although job growth has slowed from the rapid recovery seen post-pandemic, the labor market has shown resilience amid high inflation and interest rates.
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