LNP Poised for Comeback in Queensland as Labor Faces Potential Historic Loss

October 26, 2024
LNP Poised for Comeback in Queensland as Labor Faces Potential Historic Loss
  • The LNP, led by David Crisafulli, is attempting to reclaim power in Queensland after losing to Annastacia Palaszczuk in 2015.

  • With the state election set for October 26, Labor is anticipated to lose power, marking the first government change in nearly a decade.

  • Labor has historically dominated Queensland elections, winning 11 of the last 12, but currently holds 51 seats compared to the LNP's 35 in the 93-seat parliament.

  • Despite a loss of support for Crisafulli, the LNP is predicted to narrowly defeat Premier Steven Miles's Labor government with a lead of 52.5 to 47.5 percent after preferences.

  • If the projected swing of 5.7 percent is consistent across the state, the LNP could gain 13 Labor seats, achieving a two-seat majority.

  • The Newspoll, conducted from last Friday to Thursday, surveyed 1,151 Queenslanders, while over 600,000 voters had already cast their ballots.

  • The rise in early voting may limit the impact of last-minute campaign efforts, as many voters have already made their decisions.

  • Labor is at risk of losing key seats in the far north, including Townsville and Cairns, which have narrow margins.

  • Premier Steven Miles's personal support has risen, leading Crisafulli in the preferred premier rankings, 45 to 42 percent, indicating a shift in voter sentiment.

  • Recent polling indicates that Crisafulli's support has diminished during the campaign while Miles has gained traction.

  • Political analyst Adam Hannah noted that the LNP's focus on youth crime has been overshadowed by other issues during the campaign.

  • Labor's campaign has focused on cost of living measures, including reduced public transport fares and free school lunches.

Summary based on 2 sources


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Sources

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news.com.au — Australia’s leading news site • Oct 24, 2024

Shock new poll ahead of election

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