UK Faces £22 Billion 'Black Hole' as Borrowing Soars, Painful Cuts Expected in Upcoming Budget
October 22, 2024
- The borrowing figure for September reached £16.6 billion, marking the third-largest deficit for that month since record-keeping began in 1993. 
- This September deficit exceeded official forecasts by £1.5 billion, with spending rising significantly compared to tax revenue. 
- Prime Minister Keir Starmer has warned that the upcoming budget, to be presented on October 30, will likely involve painful public spending cuts and tax increases. 
- The national debt has surged to approximately 98.5% of GDP, nearing the symbolic 100% mark not seen since the 1960s. 
- Jones emphasized the necessity of addressing this financial shortfall in the upcoming budget to stabilize the economy and fulfill promises of change. 
- Since the start of the fiscal year in April, the UK has borrowed approximately £6.7 billion more than projected by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). 
- Darren Jones, Chief Secretary to the Treasury, highlighted a £22 billion 'black hole' in public finances and criticized the absence of a funding plan for public sector pay agreements. 
- Despite these challenges, the OECD has revised its UK growth forecast for 2023 upward to 1.1%, suggesting some improvement in the economic context. 
- Economists predict a slowdown in quarterly growth but believe a major recession can be avoided in the coming months. 
- Interest payments on the national debt in September totaled £5.6 billion, significantly up from £1 billion the previous year, reflecting the growing financial burden on the government. 
- ONS Deputy Director Jessica Barnaby noted that while tax revenue has increased, it has been outpaced by higher spending driven by debt interest and public sector pay rises. 
- The newly elected Labour government is under pressure to address this financial situation, which they attribute to a £22 billion deficit inherited from 14 years of Conservative governance. 
Summary based on 4 sources
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Sources

The Guardian • Oct 22, 2024
Treasury warns of difficult decisions in budget after September borrowing rise
BBC News • Oct 22, 2024
Government borrowing for September third highest on record
The Telegraph • Oct 22, 2024
Public sector pay rises fuel surge in borrowing ahead of Budget - latest updates
