India's Economic Ascent: From Fifth to Third Largest Economy Amid Global Trade Challenges

April 17, 2025
India's Economic Ascent: From Fifth to Third Largest Economy Amid Global Trade Challenges
  • During a recent speech at the 150-year celebration of the Bombay Stock Exchange, Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman addressed the challenges posed by global trade disruptions, including tariff wars and protectionist policies.

  • She noted that U.S. tariffs, intended to boost domestic manufacturing, have raised concerns about potential inflation and a global recession.

  • On April 2, 2025, former President Trump announced new tariffs of 26 percent on most Indian imports, which included a 90-day grace period for negotiations.

  • Following this announcement, global stock markets experienced volatility, although stability returned temporarily due to the U.S. government's delay in implementing the tariffs.

  • Despite these challenges, Sitharaman projected that India is on track to become the third-largest economy by the end of the decade, having progressed from the tenth largest in 2014 to the fifth largest by 2025.

  • She emphasized that India's strong macroeconomic fundamentals and resilience in financial markets provide a stable environment for investors, promoting policy stability and inclusive growth.

  • The growing role of Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs), which recorded inflows of ₹6.1 lakh crore in the last financial year, indicates the increasing maturity and depth of India's capital markets.

  • India's capital markets have also seen significant growth, surpassing the U.S. in IPO volume and adding a record 4.1 crore DMAT accounts in February 2025, totaling 19.2 crore accounts.

  • The capitalization of India's stock markets exceeded US$5 trillion in FY25, making it the fifth-largest capital market globally, with a remarkable 131% dollar-adjusted return over the past five years.

  • Sitharaman highlighted the importance of innovation in stock exchanges to democratize investments and enhance accessibility for citizens, reflecting India's economic maturity.

  • She outlined the government's vision for capital markets, focusing on inclusivity, accessibility, and resilience, while ensuring that markets remain globally integrated and digitally secure.

  • In closing, Sitharaman urged stakeholders to prioritize transparency and governance, advising investors to remain patient and informed in the evolving market landscape.

Summary based on 6 sources


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