China Shifts from Property-Driven Growth to Tech Innovation Amidst Global Tensions

March 28, 2025
China Shifts from Property-Driven Growth to Tech Innovation Amidst Global Tensions
  • This development model reflects a unique balance between market forces and state control, drawing historical parallels to the economic strategies of East Asia and Germany.

  • However, the country faces challenges such as overproduction and overcapacity, which are linked to systemic incentives and broader economic shifts.

  • In response to these challenges, stabilization efforts are being implemented in the property sector, particularly to address regional disparities in housing markets.

  • Amidst these economic adjustments, rising trade tensions and supply chain modifications are occurring as Western countries adopt de-risking strategies.

  • China is undergoing a significant transition from a property-driven growth model to emerging industries such as electric vehicles, artificial intelligence, and green technology.

  • At the core of this transition is Xi Jinping's economic philosophy, which emphasizes rejuvenating the Communist Party, promoting technological advancement, and fostering a sense of national greatness.

  • China's approach to its relations with the United States is increasingly cautious, anticipating long-term tensions, especially with the possibility of a Trump presidency.

  • Additionally, China is deepening its ties with the Global South while maintaining a complex strategic relationship with Russia.

  • Under Xi, tech regulation has evolved from strict crackdowns to a more optimistic stance regarding leadership in artificial intelligence.

  • Insights from Andrew Polk, co-founder and head of economic research at Trivium China, highlight these economic dynamics and their implications for the future.

Summary based on 1 source


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