German Trade Faces Bleak Future: 80% of Businesses Predict Sales Decline, Job Cuts Loom

January 21, 2025
German Trade Faces Bleak Future: 80% of Businesses Predict Sales Decline, Job Cuts Loom
  • BGA president Dirk Jandura noted that small and medium enterprises have lost faith in political leadership amid these challenges.

  • The BGA has forecasted a 2.7% decrease in turnover compared to 2024, painting a bleak picture for the German economy.

  • A significant 80% of German businesses engaged in international trade anticipate a decline in sales for the upcoming year, as reported by the BGA trade association.

  • This downturn in foreign trade is projected to have repercussions on the labor market, with 30% of surveyed companies indicating plans for job cuts.

  • The survey further revealed a concerning trend of declining orders, reduced investments, and an increase in insolvencies across Germany.

  • In fact, two-thirds of wholesalers reported falling sales in the latter half of 2024, with 40% expecting additional declines in 2025.

  • Highlighting the economic uncertainty, 36% of companies in the sector invested less in 2024 compared to the previous year.

  • Jandura stressed the necessity for a policy shift following the upcoming elections to tackle these economic hurdles, advocating for infrastructure investment and more business-friendly conditions.

  • The exporters' association also predicts stagnation in wholesale trade for 2025, estimating a nominal decline of 0.5% year-on-year.

  • Metaphorically, Jandura described the current state of foreign trade as being 'stuck in the tunnel, but without light,' underscoring the severity of the economic slowdown.

  • With elections scheduled for February 23, 2025, economic revival is emerging as a pivotal issue in the campaign.

  • Adding to the economic pressures, U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs could further jeopardize the German economy, prompting Jandura to advise a calm assessment of the situation.

Summary based on 1 source


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