US Economy Set for Robust Growth in 2025: S&P 500 to Soar, Interest Rates Cut

January 14, 2025
US Economy Set for Robust Growth in 2025: S&P 500 to Soar, Interest Rates Cut
  • Emerging Markets assets may face short-term risks, yet potential buying opportunities could emerge as clarity on US trade policy improves.

  • The outlook for 2025 indicates promising investment opportunities in the United States, buoyed by a robust economy and productivity growth.

  • BofA Global Research predicts that US economic and earnings growth will outpace other developed economies, with the S&P 500 projected to reach 6666 by the end of 2025.

  • Savita Subramanian anticipates over 10% upside potential for the S&P 500 in 2025, with earnings growth accelerating to 13%.

  • US cyclicals are expected to outperform in 2025, influenced by factors such as a Republican sweep and increased productivity.

  • The Euro area equity market is projected to experience a 7% downturn through mid-2025, followed by a recovery to current levels.

  • US GDP growth is projected at 2.4% year-over-year, driven by enhanced productivity and favorable fiscal policies.

  • The Federal Reserve is anticipated to implement two interest rate cuts in 2025, with the US 10-year Treasury yield expected to range between 4% and 4.5%.

  • While the US Dollar is expected to maintain its strength in the first half of 2025, concerns over growth may lead to depreciation later in the year.

  • Commodity prices, particularly oil, are forecasted to soften, with gold expected to peak at $3,000 per ounce after facing early-year challenges.

  • BofA Global Research highlighted that 2024 experienced positive growth and declining inflation, paving the way for central bank easing and record highs in global equities.

  • Chinese GDP growth is forecasted to slow to 4.5% in 2025, but domestic stimulus measures are expected to mitigate the impacts of tariffs.

  • Demand for credit is expected to remain strong, contributing to positive returns in developed market credit throughout 2025.

  • Key policy changes in the US, including tariffs and tax policies, will significantly influence both the domestic market and international economies.

Summary based on 1 source


Get a daily email with more Macroeconomics stories

More Stories