China Shifts to 'Moderately Loose' Monetary Policy for 2025, Aiming for Economic Revival

January 14, 2025
China Shifts to 'Moderately Loose' Monetary Policy for 2025, Aiming for Economic Revival
  • The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced a shift to a 'moderately loose' monetary policy for 2025, as highlighted by Deputy Governor Xuan Changneng during a press conference on January 14.

  • This new approach marks a significant departure from the prudent policies that have been in place for the past 14 years, a decision made during the Central Economic Work Conference in December 2024.

  • The PBOC plans to adjust its policies based on both domestic and international economic conditions to effectively support economic and social development goals.

  • Yang anticipates that intensified policies aimed at stabilizing economic growth will have a positive impact on capital markets and aid in national economic recovery.

  • During the press conference, Chinese officials also announced financial support initiatives aimed at fostering high-quality economic development.

  • To reduce financing costs for businesses and individuals, the PBOC will maintain order in the deposit market and support banks' capital replenishment through government bonds.

  • Despite complex circumstances, the yuan has remained stable, contributing positively to economic and trade stability.

  • Regulators are focused on strengthening the resilience of the foreign exchange market to stabilize expectations and mitigate excessive fluctuations in the yuan's exchange rate.

  • In 2024, yuan-denominated loans rose significantly, with the broad money supply (M2) reaching 313.53 trillion yuan, reflecting improved economic expectations.

  • Officials plan to expand interest rate cuts and optimize financial tools to benefit the stock market while cautioning against excessive speculation on treasury bond yields.

  • As of December 2024, total social financing in China increased by 8% year-on-year, indicating a strong credit environment.

  • The PBOC aims to coordinate with fiscal policies to guide financial institutions in increasing credit resources and optimizing credit structures.

Summary based on 3 sources


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