Inflation Cools as Fed Cuts Rates, Signals Fewer Reductions Amid Trump's Economic Policies

December 20, 2024
Inflation Cools as Fed Cuts Rates, Signals Fewer Reductions Amid Trump's Economic Policies
  • In November, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 2.4% annually, slightly below the expected 2.5% but an increase from 2.3% in October.

  • Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices, saw a modest rise of only 0.1%, down from previous increases of 0.3%.

  • An inflation gauge closely monitored by the Federal Reserve indicated a mere 0.1% increase in prices from October to November, suggesting a cooling of price pressures.

  • Despite recent federal funds rate cuts, Federal Reserve officials remain cautious about future reductions due to potential inflationary pressures from incoming economic policies under President Donald Trump.

  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently indicated that the Fed now expects only two interest rate cuts in 2025, down from a previous estimate of four, reflecting persistent inflation concerns.

  • While inflation has cooled significantly this year, its recent stability has led the Federal Reserve to adopt a careful approach regarding future interest rate cuts.

  • Market analysts, including Chris Zaccarelli, linked the lower-than-expected inflation data to a more optimistic market outlook, despite an anticipated sell-off.

  • The Federal Reserve closely monitors PCE inflation to guide its monetary policy, aiming for a long-term inflation target of 2%.

  • The increase in the annual inflation rate was anticipated due to comparisons with a year of lower inflation and temporary price hikes from hurricanes and holiday spending.

  • On December 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve reduced its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.25%-4.5%, marking its third consecutive cut.

  • Incomes increased by 0.3% in November, outpacing price growth and potentially helping consumers manage higher costs over time.

  • Friday's report showed better-than-expected results, with personal income and spending data indicating a monthly gain of 0.3% and an anticipated growth for personal spending of 0.5%.

Summary based on 8 sources


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