US Tariffs Trigger Dollar Drop, Global Currency Surge as Markets React to 'Liberation Day'

April 18, 2025
US Tariffs Trigger Dollar Drop, Global Currency Surge as Markets React to 'Liberation Day'
  • Market reactions included an increase in the VIX index, indicating heightened uncertainty, a decrease in WTI oil prices due to global demand concerns, and a rise in gold prices, signifying a flight to safe assets amidst volatility.

  • These tariffs impose a 10% tax on imports and include a reciprocal component based on trade imbalances, marking the largest tariff increase since the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930.

  • Following the announcement, the US dollar experienced a sharp depreciation, which contradicts the standard economic theory that suggests tariffs should strengthen the home currency.

  • In the 24 hours following the announcement, all G10 currencies appreciated against the dollar, while many emerging market currencies showed mixed responses, indicating a divergence in market reactions.

  • Specifically, the euro, yen, pound, and franc rose by approximately 1% to 2% against the dollar, while currencies like the Thai baht and South African rand depreciated slightly.

  • On April 2, 2025, the US government announced new tariffs on imports from 180 countries, a significant trade policy shift that President Trump referred to as 'Liberation Day.'

  • This depreciation was primarily driven by foreign portfolio rebalancing away from US equities, as foreign investors adjusted their asset holdings in response to the new tariffs.

  • The unusual response of the dollar suggests that perceptions regarding its safe-haven status may be evolving due to the current administration's trade policies.

Summary based on 1 source


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