Market Turmoil: Tariffs Spark Recession Fears, Stocks Plunge as Earnings Season Unfolds

April 18, 2025
Market Turmoil: Tariffs Spark Recession Fears, Stocks Plunge as Earnings Season Unfolds
  • The benchmark stock index has fallen 14% from its record high in February, despite a brief rebound last week, with ongoing high volatility since the tariff news broke.

  • Economists now estimate a 45% chance of a recession within the next year, a sharp increase from 25% just a month ago, raising concerns among investors.

  • United Airlines has issued a dual revenue forecast, signaling potential significant losses if a recession occurs, which investors view as a critical risk assessment.

  • Projections for S&P 500 profit growth have been revised down from an estimated 14% to 9.2% for 2025, suggesting a possible contraction in earnings due to the impact of tariffs.

  • Investor focus is also on the Federal Reserve, especially following Trump's calls for urgent rate cuts and Powell's cautious approach regarding rate changes based on upcoming economic data.

  • The Cboe Volatility Index spiked to around 60 following the tariff announcement but has since decreased to about 30, indicating persistent market anxiety despite some stabilization.

  • Major companies such as Tesla and Alphabet are facing increased scrutiny from investors eager to understand how tariffs are affecting their financial outlooks.

  • Tesla is scheduled to report earnings on April 22, with particular interest in CEO Elon Musk's relationship with Trump and its implications for the company's future.

  • A significant week for U.S. earnings is underway as the market reacts to President Donald Trump's recent tariff announcement, which has introduced volatility and uncertainty in global trade.

  • All major tech stocks in the Magnificent Seven group have experienced significant declines in 2025, with Alphabet down 20% and Tesla down 40%, reflecting broader market trends.

  • Boeing's performance is under scrutiny after reports that China has halted deliveries of its jets, while other major companies like IBM, Merck, Intel, and Procter & Gamble are preparing to release earnings soon.

  • Alphabet is also closely monitored for updates on advertising spending and AI investments amid ongoing legal challenges regarding its dominance in online advertising.

Summary based on 1 source


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