IMF Chief Warns US Tariffs Threaten Higher Inflation, Slower Growth by 2025

April 17, 2025
IMF Chief Warns US Tariffs Threaten Higher Inflation, Slower Growth by 2025
  • Next week, representatives from 191 countries will convene in Washington, D.C., to discuss trade policies and the implications of recent US-led changes in the global trade order.

  • Her remarks come ahead of the IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings, where rising global concerns about economic fragmentation due to protectionism and uncertainty will be addressed.

  • Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the IMF, warned that escalating US tariff actions are likely to lead to higher inflation and slower global growth in 2025, although a global recession is not imminent.

  • Georgieva emphasized that prolonged uncertainty regarding tariffs could lead to increased financial market stress, warning of the repercussions of dollar depreciation and rising US bond yields.

  • She recommended that China shift its growth model towards boosting private consumption and reducing reliance on exports, while the EU should deepen its internal market integration.

  • Georgieva stressed that uncertainty makes it difficult for companies to plan investments, leading to delayed decisions and slowing economic momentum.

  • She explained that tariffs disrupt global trade flows and create inefficiencies in supply chains, ultimately impacting the cost of goods across multiple countries.

  • Georgieva noted that economies are currently burdened with higher public debt compared to previous years, complicating their ability to manage inflation effectively.

  • The IMF's forthcoming World Economic Outlook, set to be released on April 22, is expected to downgrade global growth forecasts while raising inflation expectations for several countries.

  • She also highlighted the need for the US to reduce its federal government debt and implement significant budget reforms to enhance economic resilience.

  • Recent US tariff plans under President Trump have led to significant market turbulence, reminiscent of levels seen during the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Georgieva called for a renewed commitment to open trade and cooperation among major economies, advocating for the reduction of both tariff and non-tariff barriers.

Summary based on 3 sources


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