S&P Downgrades Global Growth Outlook Amid US Policy Uncertainty and Tariffs Concerns

March 28, 2025
S&P Downgrades Global Growth Outlook Amid US Policy Uncertainty and Tariffs Concerns
  • A recent report from Standard & Poor's, released on March 27, 2025, highlights that heightened US policy uncertainty is impacting the global economic outlook.

  • As a result of these uncertainties, S&P has downgraded its growth expectations, particularly concerning tariffs.

  • Specifically, the agency lowered its US GDP growth forecast from 2% to 1.9% for 2026, while maintaining the forecast at 1.9% for 2025.

  • Despite these adjustments, the global economic growth forecast remains steady at 3% for 2025, though it has been revised down from 3.1% to 3% for 2026.

  • The report indicates that forecasts have also been revised down for several major economies, including Germany, France, Italy, the UK, Japan, India, Mexico, and South Africa.

  • In the Eurozone, the growth forecast has been reduced by 0.3 percentage points to 0.9% for 2025, with a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points to 1.4% for 2026.

  • Europe's growth is expected to decline this year, but an improvement is projected for 2026, driven by increased defense and infrastructure spending.

  • In contrast, the economic outlook for China remains stable, according to S&P.

Summary based on 1 source


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