Fed's Logan Advocates Gradual Rate Cuts Amid Strong Economy and Labor Market Concerns

October 22, 2024
Fed's Logan Advocates Gradual Rate Cuts Amid Strong Economy and Labor Market Concerns
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan recently addressed the economy during a speech, emphasizing the need for gradual rate cuts to achieve a more neutral monetary policy.

  • In her remarks, she highlighted the importance of lowering the policy rate while acknowledging the current strength and stability of the economy.

  • Despite positive job data, Logan expressed concerns about uncertainties surrounding the labor market and inflation objectives.

  • She noted that while the September jobs report was strong, there is a risk of the labor market cooling more quickly than expected.

  • Logan reiterated her strategy of gradually lowering the policy rate to reach a more normal level, aligning with the Fed's overall monetary policy normalization.

  • Logan characterized recent volatility in money markets as normal and not a concern for the Fed, as it seeks an efficient balance sheet size.

  • Logan pointed out that inflation is declining, but the robust job market raises questions about the necessity of aggressive rate cuts.

  • Market participants are currently debating whether the Fed can deliver the anticipated half percentage point of rate cuts by the end of the year.

  • She sees no immediate need to halt the process of quantitative tightening (QT), which has reduced the Fed's balance sheet from $9 trillion to $7.1 trillion since 2022.

  • Logan discussed the Fed's balance sheet reduction and indicated that the sale of mortgage bonds is not a near-term concern.

  • Looking ahead, she anticipates negligible balances in the Fed's reverse repo facility and suggested lowering the reverse repo interest rate to encourage funds back into private markets.

  • She also emphasized the importance for banks to prepare for potential liquidity shortfalls and to be ready to utilize the Fed's Discount Window liquidity facility if necessary.

Summary based on 2 sources


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