Germans Focus on Federal Election Amid Distrust in Parties; Union Leads in Polls

January 21, 2025
Germans Focus on Federal Election Amid Distrust in Parties; Union Leads in Polls
  • According to the Forsa poll, the Union party currently enjoys a support level of 31 percent, which contrasts with a recent Insa poll that reported only 29 percent.

  • The Alternative for Germany (AfD) has seen a slight decline, now at 19 percent, while the Social Democratic Party (SPD) remains steady at 16 percent and the Greens at 13 percent.

  • The upcoming Bundestagswahl, or federal election, is the most pressing concern for 69 percent of Germans, overshadowing other issues like the situation in the USA, which is a priority for 27 percent.

  • A recent poll conducted by Forsa, which surveyed 2,502 participants from mid-January, indicates a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.

  • Despite the varying levels of support, 54 percent of citizens express distrust in all parties to effectively address Germany's issues, with the Union being the most trusted at 19 percent.

  • In terms of preferences for chancellor, Friedrich Merz and Robert Habeck are tied at 23 percent, while Olaf Scholz and Alice Weidel both sit at 16 percent.

  • As political dynamics shift, potential coalitions are being discussed, including partnerships between the Union and either the SPD or the Greens, while all parties have dismissed any alliance with the AfD.

  • Currently, the Free Democratic Party (FDP) and the BSW are polling at 4 percent, and the Left Party at 3 percent, suggesting they may not secure seats in the Bundestag if elections were held now.

  • Should the FDP, BSW, and Left Party fail to enter the Bundestag, it would mean that approximately 20 percent of votes would go unrepresented.

  • In direct matchups, Merz leads Habeck 30 percent to 26 percent and also has an edge over Scholz, leading 26 percent to 23 percent.

  • The proportion of votes for other parties, which have little chance of entering the Bundestag, has risen to 10 percent.

Summary based on 1 source


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