Scholz has highlighted the need for unity within the SPD, noting the support he has received from party leaders as they strategize for the upcoming election.

The poll results are based on responses from 2,193 eligible voters, with 82% indicating a clear voting intention, and other parties collectively accounting for 7% of the projected votes.

In the societal middle groups, the AfD poses a serious challenge to the CDU/CSU, leading in segments like the 'old middle' where it holds 34% compared to the CDU/CSU's 29%.

Germany is gearing up for early elections in February 2025, following the collapse of the Ampel coalition government led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who recently dismissed former Finance Minister Christian Lindner.

As the SPD prepares for the elections, Chancellor Scholz has emphasized the importance of party unity and has not yet confirmed his candidacy for Chancellor, expressing a desire for collective success.

The CDU/CSU is projected to perform well across various voter demographics, expected to win in seven out of ten Sinus Milieus, particularly among conservative voters where they hold 47% support.

A recent YouGov poll conducted in early November shows the CDU/CSU leading with 33% support, followed by the AfD at 19%, the SPD at 15%, and the Greens at 12%.

Dr. Silke Borgstedt from the SINUS Institute noted that the CDU/CSU enjoys strong backing from conservative elites, with 47% support among them and 38% from success-oriented progressives.

Despite these gains for the CDU/CSU, the Greens have seen a decline in support across many demographics since the 2021 federal election, although they still maintain 41% in their traditional post-materialist demographic.

Interestingly, the CDU/CSU is also gaining traction among younger, progressive voters, achieving 36% support in the Expeditives milieu and 40% in the Neo-Ecological milieu, demographics where the Greens previously excelled.

In contrast, the FDP is projected to receive only 5% of the vote, raising concerns about their ability to enter the Bundestag, while the Left Party is expected to garner just 3%.