Germany Faces Worst Competitiveness Crisis Since 1994: High Energy Costs and Bureaucracy to Blame

November 20, 2024
Germany Faces Worst Competitiveness Crisis Since 1994: High Energy Costs and Bureaucracy to Blame
  • A recent survey by the Ifo Institute, involving around 2,000 industrial companies, has revealed a significant decline in Germany's competitiveness, marking the worst downturn since the survey's inception in 1994.

  • This decline is largely attributed to high energy costs and taxes, which have led to increasing pessimism among German industries, particularly affecting energy-intensive sectors and the automotive industry.

  • Companies have cited high energy prices, bureaucratic burdens, rising costs of raw materials, and tax pressures as key issues, exacerbated by structural problems like a shortage of skilled workers.

  • The automotive sector is particularly hard-hit, with a 53% drop in job postings in October compared to the previous year, reflecting a slowdown in the transition to electric mobility.

  • The Ifo Institute has called for swift government formation following federal elections as a short-term solution, while advocating for long-term strategies to avert significant industrial production relocation from Germany.

  • Negative evaluations of competitiveness span all industrial sectors, with energy-intensive industries suffering the most, reflecting a widespread concern among businesses.

  • Since 2018, Germany's industrial production has decreased by over 12%, with stagnation in gross value added in manufacturing, indicating a troubling trend for the economy.

  • Experts recommend urgent measures to enhance competitiveness, including reducing energy costs, cutting bureaucratic obstacles, and modernizing infrastructure to prevent further deindustrialization.

  • The VDMA reported a 5.2% decline in exports during the first nine months of 2024, primarily due to decreased orders from Europe and America, further highlighting the challenges faced by German manufacturers.

  • Increased business uncertainty, fueled by geopolitical tensions and the failure of the German coalition government, has prompted calls for immediate economic policy measures.

  • The Ifo analysis aligns with international competitiveness rankings, showing Germany's drop to 24th place in the IMD rankings over recent years, underscoring the need for reform.

  • The decline in competitiveness has been evident since 2017, predating the COVID-19 pandemic and the energy crisis triggered by geopolitical events.

Summary based on 4 sources


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