Germany Faces Worst Competitiveness Crisis Since 1994: High Energy Costs and Bureaucracy to Blame
November 20, 2024
- A recent survey by the Ifo Institute, involving around 2,000 industrial companies, has revealed a significant decline in Germany's competitiveness, marking the worst downturn since the survey's inception in 1994. 
- This decline is largely attributed to high energy costs and taxes, which have led to increasing pessimism among German industries, particularly affecting energy-intensive sectors and the automotive industry. 
- Companies have cited high energy prices, bureaucratic burdens, rising costs of raw materials, and tax pressures as key issues, exacerbated by structural problems like a shortage of skilled workers. 
- The automotive sector is particularly hard-hit, with a 53% drop in job postings in October compared to the previous year, reflecting a slowdown in the transition to electric mobility. 
- The Ifo Institute has called for swift government formation following federal elections as a short-term solution, while advocating for long-term strategies to avert significant industrial production relocation from Germany. 
- Negative evaluations of competitiveness span all industrial sectors, with energy-intensive industries suffering the most, reflecting a widespread concern among businesses. 
- Since 2018, Germany's industrial production has decreased by over 12%, with stagnation in gross value added in manufacturing, indicating a troubling trend for the economy. 
- Experts recommend urgent measures to enhance competitiveness, including reducing energy costs, cutting bureaucratic obstacles, and modernizing infrastructure to prevent further deindustrialization. 
- The VDMA reported a 5.2% decline in exports during the first nine months of 2024, primarily due to decreased orders from Europe and America, further highlighting the challenges faced by German manufacturers. 
- Increased business uncertainty, fueled by geopolitical tensions and the failure of the German coalition government, has prompted calls for immediate economic policy measures. 
- The Ifo analysis aligns with international competitiveness rankings, showing Germany's drop to 24th place in the IMD rankings over recent years, underscoring the need for reform. 
- The decline in competitiveness has been evident since 2017, predating the COVID-19 pandemic and the energy crisis triggered by geopolitical events. 
Summary based on 4 sources
