Bruno Le Maire Faces Senate Over France's Soaring Public Deficit, Blames Forecast Failures

November 7, 2024
Bruno Le Maire Faces Senate Over France's Soaring Public Deficit, Blames Forecast Failures
  • He described the budgetary situation as a "hurricane," primarily caused by erroneous forecasts from the Ministry of Finance.

  • Le Maire emphasized that the worsening deficit stemmed from failures in fiscal revenue forecasting models, which had historically linked economic growth to tax revenue increases.

  • He explained that anticipated revenue growth from a 1% economic growth rate had significantly declined, negatively impacting government revenue.

  • This decline in revenue elasticity was highlighted as a critical factor, with projections indicating a €41 billion gap between 2023 and 2024 due to underestimated revenue shortfalls.

  • To address these issues, Le Maire proposed resuming monthly meetings among all services involved in revenue forecasting and suggested utilizing real-time data for financial predictions.

  • In response to the deficit concerns, current Finance Minister Thomas Cazenave noted that he had previously frozen €16 billion in spending, asserting that the previous government would have continued its deficit reduction plans.

  • Le Maire expressed feeling victimized by political attacks, claiming his record was being used to undermine President Emmanuel Macron.

  • Critics, including Senator Jean-François Husson, described Le Maire's defense as self-congratulatory amidst a rising national debt burdening French citizens.

  • On November 7, 2024, former Economy Minister Bruno Le Maire testified before the Senate regarding the alarming public deficit projected at 6.1% of GDP for the year.

  • Le Maire attributed this increase in the deficit to the current government's decisions, firmly denying any intent to mislead about the state of public finances.

  • Despite the criticisms, Le Maire defended his tenure, asserting that he acted with transparency and integrity, while his aides indicated he is ready to clarify any misconceptions following his resignation.

  • This Senate hearing is part of a broader inquiry into the trajectory of public finances in France, as lawmakers seek to understand the underlying causes of the current fiscal challenges.

Summary based on 13 sources


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