France's Public Debt Hits 113% of GDP; Government Faces Budget 'Nightmare' Amid Deficit Woes

March 27, 2025
France's Public Debt Hits 113% of GDP; Government Faces Budget 'Nightmare' Amid Deficit Woes
  • France's public debt surged to 113.0% of GDP in 2024, a notable increase from 109.8% in 2023, making it one of the highest in the Eurozone.

  • Despite the rising debt, the 2024 deficit was slightly better than the government's forecast of 6.0%, although it remains a significant concern.

  • Only Greece and Italy have higher public debt levels than France, which also suffers from the worst public deficit performance in the Eurozone.

  • Prime Minister Francois Bayrou's administration is under pressure to address the deficit, which remains above the Eurozone's three-percent limit, posing risks to financial stability.

  • The French government aims to reduce the deficit to 5.4% of GDP by 2025 and below the EU limit of 3% by 2029, although achieving this goal is complicated by a fragmented political landscape.

  • In response to rising economic pressures, the government has already implemented approximately €50 billion in spending cuts this year.

  • Economic forecasts are bleak, with the Bank of France predicting a growth rate of only 0.7% for 2025, down from the government's projection of 0.9%.

  • The government faces difficulties in financing increased military spending, as President Emmanuel Macron proposes to raise military expenditure to around 3-3.5% of GDP without increasing taxes.

  • While the deficit could be slightly better than anticipated, it remains far from the desired 4.4% estimated in autumn 2023, primarily due to slower revenue growth.

  • Despite these challenges, some economists express optimism about France's long-term growth prospects, citing European investment plans and favorable economic conditions.

  • Finance Minister Eric Lombard acknowledged that the current financial figures are 'not good news,' as the deficit continues to be a pressing issue.

  • Government spokesperson Sophie Primas described the preparation of the 2026 budget as a 'nightmare' due to the significant financial challenges ahead.

Summary based on 5 sources


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Sources


French budget deficit slightly less bad than feared

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