Bitcoin's Path to Growth: Global Liquidity Shifts Could Propel BTC to New Heights

April 17, 2025
Bitcoin's Path to Growth: Global Liquidity Shifts Could Propel BTC to New Heights
  • Bitcoin is currently experiencing pressure from forced selling of U.S. dollar assets due to margin exhaustion; however, macro strategist Felix Jauvin sees a potential shift towards Bitcoin as a non-national asset that could thrive amid changing global liquidity dynamics.

  • The U.S. has been running a significantly higher fiscal deficit compared to other nations, which has led to increased inflation and concentrated risk capital in U.S. equities and Bitcoin.

  • Jauvin argues that Bitcoin's value is primarily driven by global liquidity rather than U.S. equity performance, noting that liquidity trends often lead Bitcoin's spot prices by approximately eleven weeks.

  • He predicts that if foreign governments ramp up fiscal spending, especially on defense and infrastructure, it will enhance global liquidity outside of the U.S., positively impacting Bitcoin.

  • Despite its high-beta status keeping some investors cautious, Jauvin emphasizes Bitcoin's resilience and its appeal as a global liquidity asset.

  • Overall, Jauvin's insights suggest that Bitcoin could emerge as a leading asset once the current market adjustments are complete, driven by evolving global liquidity dynamics.

  • This potential increase in foreign fiscal spending could shift global liquidity away from the U.S. and into Europe and Asia, affecting the risk premium of U.S. dollar assets.

  • Jauvin also highlights the Trump administration's efforts to reduce the trade deficit, which may decrease the flow of U.S. dollars to foreign countries and strengthen foreign currencies.

  • Despite Bitcoin's current challenges, Jauvin concludes that these market adjustments are a necessary precursor to a long-term increase in Bitcoin's value, with BTC trading at $84,766 at the time of his analysis.

  • While Bitcoin has not yet matched gold's recent performance, it offers unique advantages as a borderless asset unencumbered by tariffs, making it an attractive investment for risk-seeking traders.

  • Jauvin believes the current forced deleveraging in the market is a temporary phase, setting the stage for a significant trading opportunity for Bitcoin.

  • He anticipates that Bitcoin will likely decouple from U.S. tech equities as non-U.S. fiscal stimulus begins to drive liquidity, marking a notable shift in capital flows.

Summary based on 2 sources


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