Bitcoin Decouples from S&P 500: Independence Sparks Speculation of Major Price Surge
February 18, 2025
Recent data indicates that this zero correlation suggests Bitcoin's price movements are now largely independent of traditional market indicators, presenting new trading opportunities.
As of February 17, 2025, Bitcoin was trading at $98,765, reflecting a 1.2% increase from the previous day, while the S&P 500 closed at 5,100, down 0.3%.
The last observed zero correlation occurred on November 5, 2024, just before Bitcoin's price surged past $100,000, raising speculation about potential future price movements.
The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 peaked near 1 in January 2025, indicating a strong positive relationship, but has since sharply declined to zero.
Currently, Bitcoin's price remains stable around $96,000, reflecting a consolidation phase following recent fluctuations.
On-chain metrics showed a 10% increase in active Bitcoin addresses, reaching 1.2 million, further supporting the trend of growing network activity.
Despite Bitcoin's decoupling from traditional markets, the correlation between major crypto assets like Bitcoin and AI tokens remains low, suggesting minimal influence of AI developments on broader crypto market sentiment.
Market analysts speculate that this newfound independence may trigger a major price surge for Bitcoin, as historical trends show that decoupling often precedes significant rallies.
Additionally, Bitcoin's hash rate increased by 5% to 300 EH/s, indicating network stability and security.
Trading activity has surged, with the BTC/USD pair on Binance seeing a volume increase to 20,000 BTC and Bitcoin's trading volume on Coinbase rising to 15,000 BTC, a 25% increase from the average.
This current zero correlation suggests potential diversification opportunities for investors, as assets with low correlation can provide different performance dynamics.
Summary based on 4 sources
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Sources

NewsBTC • Feb 18, 2025
Bitcoin Finally Independent? BTC-S&P 500 Correlation Hits Zero
AMBCrypto • Feb 18, 2025
BTC decouples from S&P —Here’s why it’s important for investors
NewsBTC • Feb 18, 2025
Bitcoin Finally Independent? BTC-S&P 500 Correlation Hits Zero
Blockchain.News • Feb 17, 2025
Bitcoin's Correlation with S&P 500 Drops to Zero | Flash News Detail