Bitcoin Decouples from S&P 500: Independence Sparks Speculation of Major Price Surge

February 18, 2025
Bitcoin Decouples from S&P 500: Independence Sparks Speculation of Major Price Surge
  • Recent data indicates that this zero correlation suggests Bitcoin's price movements are now largely independent of traditional market indicators, presenting new trading opportunities.

  • As of February 17, 2025, Bitcoin was trading at $98,765, reflecting a 1.2% increase from the previous day, while the S&P 500 closed at 5,100, down 0.3%.

  • The last observed zero correlation occurred on November 5, 2024, just before Bitcoin's price surged past $100,000, raising speculation about potential future price movements.

  • The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 peaked near 1 in January 2025, indicating a strong positive relationship, but has since sharply declined to zero.

  • Currently, Bitcoin's price remains stable around $96,000, reflecting a consolidation phase following recent fluctuations.

  • On-chain metrics showed a 10% increase in active Bitcoin addresses, reaching 1.2 million, further supporting the trend of growing network activity.

  • Despite Bitcoin's decoupling from traditional markets, the correlation between major crypto assets like Bitcoin and AI tokens remains low, suggesting minimal influence of AI developments on broader crypto market sentiment.

  • Market analysts speculate that this newfound independence may trigger a major price surge for Bitcoin, as historical trends show that decoupling often precedes significant rallies.

  • Additionally, Bitcoin's hash rate increased by 5% to 300 EH/s, indicating network stability and security.

  • Trading activity has surged, with the BTC/USD pair on Binance seeing a volume increase to 20,000 BTC and Bitcoin's trading volume on Coinbase rising to 15,000 BTC, a 25% increase from the average.

  • This current zero correlation suggests potential diversification opportunities for investors, as assets with low correlation can provide different performance dynamics.

Summary based on 4 sources


Get a daily email with more Crypto stories

More Stories