Bitcoin Hash Ribbon Flashes Bullish Signal: Could Prices Surge Past $100K by Q2 2025?

March 27, 2025
Bitcoin Hash Ribbon Flashes Bullish Signal: Could Prices Surge Past $100K by Q2 2025?
  • This buy signal, recorded on March 24, 2025, is evident on both daily and weekly timeframes, marking a significant shift in market sentiment.

  • Market sentiment is currently buoyant, with traders like Titan of Crypto emphasizing the macro bullish nature of this signal, while Robert Mercer predicts Bitcoin could exceed $100,000 in the second quarter of 2025.

  • The Hash Ribbon, created by analyst Charles Edwards, uses two moving averages of Bitcoin's hash rate to identify miner capitulation and recovery phases.

  • Edwards supports the bullish interpretation of the signal, noting its rarity, as it has flashed only 20 times in Bitcoin's history, with an impressive 85% accuracy in indicating local lows.

  • Bitcoin has recently shown bullish signals as the Hash Ribbon metric issued a buy signal for the first time since July 2024, indicating the end of the miner capitulation phase.

  • In addition to the Hash Ribbon, the relative strength index (RSI) has broken a multimonth downtrend, confirming a bullish divergence for the first time since September 2024.

  • However, Jamie Coutts, chief analyst at Real Vision, cautions that while the Hash Ribbon is bullish, other on-chain metrics remain sluggish and may not align with historical price correlations.

  • Despite the bullish signals, many on-chain metrics have not reached previous cycle levels, raising questions about the current market conditions.

  • Bitcoin Archive has highlighted the reliability of the Hash Ribbon, noting that significant price gains have followed each of the last seven triggers of this indicator.

  • At the time of reporting, Bitcoin's trading price was $87,373, reflecting a recovery from disappointing price action earlier in March.

  • Conversely, Tony Severino, a Chartered Market Technician, expresses a bearish outlook, arguing that current price action and on-chain metrics do not support a bullish narrative.

  • Historically, major buy signals from the Hash Ribbon have appeared after significant market downturns, often coinciding with cycle bottoms.

Summary based on 4 sources


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