Albanese Extends Lead Over Coalition, Poised for Majority Government: New Polling Data Reveals

April 18, 2025
Albanese Extends Lead Over Coalition, Poised for Majority Government: New Polling Data Reveals
  • New polling data indicates that Labor, led by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, has extended its lead over the Coalition, with a two-party preferred vote of 52.5% to 47.5%.

  • This significant electoral shift suggests that Albanese could secure a majority government in the upcoming election.

  • In terms of personal popularity, Albanese is preferred by 48% of voters as prime minister, compared to Peter Dutton's 37%, marking an 11% lead for Albanese, the largest since June 2024.

  • Dutton has acknowledged concerns raised by dairy farmers regarding low milk prices in supermarkets, reflecting his attempt to connect with key voter issues.

  • However, Dutton's recent backtracking on controversial policies has negatively affected his voter standing, contributing to his decline in the preferred prime minister rankings.

  • In Victoria, the Coalition's primary vote has dropped by 11%, which significantly diminishes their previous advantage and limits potential gains.

  • Redbridge director Kos Samaras described this electoral shift as one of the most significant in living memory, particularly in Victoria.

  • The Greens and minor parties have maintained their support at 12%, while One Nation has seen a slight increase to 8%.

  • During a recent rally in Perth, Albanese promised to reserve 100,000 homes for first-time buyers, while Dutton proposed tax-deductible mortgage interest payments for first home buyers in western Sydney.

  • The survey, conducted online with 1,271 voters from April 7 to April 10, reflects political sentiments leading up to the formal campaign launches.

  • Despite the shifts, net satisfaction ratings for both leaders remain negative, with Albanese improving to -2% and Dutton declining to -15%, his lowest rating to date.

  • As the election approaches, early voting is set to begin on April 22, with 64% of respondents predicting a Labor government will emerge from the May 3 election.

Summary based on 3 sources


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Sources

Labor, Albanese extend leads in new poll

news.com.au — Australia’s leading news site • Apr 11, 2025

Labor, Albanese extend leads in new poll

Albo surges ahead in new poll

news.com.au — Australia’s leading news site • Apr 18, 2025

Albo surges ahead in new poll

Most voters expect Labor minority government: Newspoll

The West Australian • Apr 13, 2025

Most voters expect Labor minority government: Newspoll

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