Aussies Face $500 Billion Tax Hike Without Reforms, Warns Budget Office
November 18, 2024The Parliamentary Budget Office has issued a stark warning that without necessary tax reforms, Australians could face an increase of half a trillion dollars in personal income tax over the next decade.
As the federal election approaches, expected by May 2025, neither major political party in Australia plans to offer substantial tax relief, complicating the fiscal landscape.
In light of the budget situation, Treasurer Jim Chalmers has ruled out major changes to personal income tax, stating that the current tax cuts, which began on July 1, 2024, should suffice for the time being.
Chalmers' caution is underscored by the projected budget deficit, which is expected to reach $122.1 billion from the current financial year through 2027-28, raising concerns about the sustainability of any proposed tax relief.
Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has linked his policies to a federal budget facing $120 billion in deficits, emphasizing the need to assess the budget before making any tax pledges.
Both Dutton and Chalmers have acknowledged the challenges of introducing tax cuts without significant spending cuts or increases in revenue from commodities and corporate profits.
To address the issue of bracket creep, which affects taxpayers as their income rises through tax brackets, it would cost nearly $150 billion, with $40 billion of that anticipated for the 2025-26 financial year alone.
The Business Council of Australia's report highlights an urgent need for reforms to enhance productivity, which has stagnated at 0.5% annually, warning that without changes, living standards and economic growth are at risk.
In a move to support Australian manufacturing, the National Reconstruction Fund is set to announce a $40 million project aimed at job retention and economic diversification, starting with Toowoomba's Russell Mineral Equipment.
Additionally, S&P Global analysis suggests that proposed tariffs by incoming US President-elect Donald Trump could severely impact China's economy, which would have ripple effects on Australia due to its reliance on Chinese exports.
Summary based on 1 source
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Source
The Sydney Morning Herald • Nov 18, 2024
No tax relief for you: deficits and cost put cuts in too hard basket