Is 2025 the Year AI Outpaces Human Intelligence Across All Benchmarks?

December 23, 2024
Is 2025 the Year AI Outpaces Human Intelligence Across All Benchmarks?
  • The article explores the evolving definition of human-level Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) as advancements in AI technology continue to progress.

  • A proposed definition suggests that a system achieves human-level AGI when it becomes impossible for humans to create any benchmark where they can reliably outperform the AI.

  • Data observations indicate that it is increasingly challenging to devise tests where humans can outperform advanced AI systems.

  • This trend suggests that by around 2025, it may be impossible to create any task where humans perform better than AI, marking a pivotal milestone in AI development.

  • The definition of human-level AGI is empirical, focusing on test outcomes rather than attempting to define human intelligence, which is subjective and complex.

  • To track AI benchmarks and the timeline for AI systems reaching human-level performance, the author, Rasmus Lindahl, has launched a website called 'h-matched'.

  • The author invites readers to share their thoughts on this definition and its implications for the future of AI and human intelligence.

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