Bitcoin's Puell Multiple Signals Potential Bull Run as Six-Figure Price Looms

November 20, 2024
Bitcoin's Puell Multiple Signals Potential Bull Run as Six-Figure Price Looms
  • As of November 18, 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) for Bitcoin was recorded at 74.4, indicating strong bullish momentum, typically seen during bull runs.

  • On the same day, CryptoQuant noted a rare golden cross for Bitcoin's Puell Multiple, a phenomenon that historically leads to significant price increases.

  • Analysts predict that the main wave of FOMO for Bitcoin may materialize in early 2025, suggesting a potential surge in interest and investment.

  • The Bitcoin Puell Multiple is approaching a significant crossover with its 365-day moving average, a signal that has historically preceded bullish price movements for Bitcoin.

  • This Puell Multiple measures the revenue of Bitcoin miners relative to the annual average, focusing solely on block subsidy income.

  • After dipping below 1 earlier in 2024, primarily due to the fourth Bitcoin halving event that reduced miners' block subsidy, the Puell Multiple has sharply increased and is nearing the 1 mark.

  • Currently, Bitcoin's price has stabilized around $91,900 following a recent cooldown in bullish momentum.

  • Despite a 40% gain in Q4 2024 thus far, many analysts believe that Bitcoin's most intense price upside is still ahead, with expectations of a 'parabolic phase' lasting around 300 days.

  • There are rising expectations for Bitcoin to reach six figures for the first time, although concerns linger about a potential correction driven by retail FOMO.

  • Favorable macroeconomic conditions are also contributing to the likelihood of a future Bitcoin rally, as noted by CryptoQuant.

  • Historically, when the Puell Multiple has crossed above its 365-day moving average, Bitcoin has experienced significant price rallies, averaging gains of at least 76%.

  • In the last five years, the Puell Multiple has crossed its moving average three times, resulting in BTC price surges of 83%, 113%, and 76% after each crossover.

Summary based on 2 sources


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